Monthly Archives: November 2009

Best Recovery Bets

The San Francisco metro area has seen its home values drop by a quarter, and the city still has some pain to work through. The city’s median home price is expected fall another 8.3% by June 2010.

After that, however, the market there may come roaring back: Fiserv predicts a 14.3% gain between June 2010 and June 2011. Averaged out, that means a 4.8% gain over the next two years.

One reason for the sharp comeback is that much of the area’s excess inventory will have been sold. It’s already dropped by nearly in half over the past year.

The recovery will be delayed, though, as the area — particularly Oakland and the East Bay — works through its foreclosure problems. During the first six months of 2009, one of every 52 homes had at least one foreclosure filing.

The good news, according to Mark Fleming, chief economist for First American CoreLogic, is that core city neighborhoods don’t have nearly as many foreclosures as those out on the fringe. The steady demand in those communities will serve as a base as other neighborhoods rebuild.

reposted from cnn.com
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Lea Anderson is a real estate agent serving the communities of View Park, Ladera Heights, Baldwin Hills and Leimert Park. For a FREE consultation call/text her today (310) 493-9678.<a

Are First Time Homebuyers Bringing the Market Back?

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) — Propelled by the first-time homebuyers tax credit, nearly half of home sales are now being made by first-time purchasers, according to an industry report released Friday.

In fact, 47% of all Americans who purchased homes this year had not owned one during the previous three years, according to a press release Friday from the National Association of Realtors (NAR). That was up from 41% of sales in 2008 and 36% in 2006.

The tax credit boosted markets by giving first-time buyers a credit of up to $8,000 they could deduct from their income taxes. The credit is fully refundable: Even a buyer who pays less than $8,000 in income tax gets the full amount of the credit back.

The credit was recently extended through the middle of 2010 and expanded to include many existing homeowners. That has the industry buzzing.

“The credit is working better than first projected — it now looks like we’ll have 2.3 to 2.4 million first-time buyers this year,” said Lawrence Yun, chief economist for NAR. “With expansion of the tax credit to additional buyers through the middle of next year, and no major unforeseen events impacting the economy, home prices should rise between 3% and 5% in 2010.”

NAR forecasts that existing-home sales will total slightly over 5 million in 2009, a 2% increase compared with 2008. Next year, they predict a gain of 13.6% to 5.69 million units. That should draw down inventory and prop up home prices, according to Yun, but, he cautioned: “Risks, such as unemployment, remain.”

Critics of the tax credit call it a poorly targeted method of boosting sales. The credit added, by nearly the most positive evaluations — including NAR’s — fewer than 400,000 sales to the total this year, about 20% of all first-time purchases.

Since all first-timers get the credit, whether it persuaded them to buy or not, that would mean about $40,000 was spent by the government for every extra sale, critics say.

Most affordable housing in years
Indeed, many in the industry trace the improvement in the housing market to much better affordability, rather than the tax credit.

Not only have home prices fallen more than 30% from their peak, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price index, but mortgage rates have remained extremely low all year, keeping monthly payments low.

Most sales have been of existing homes. New home sales, as well as new home construction, have remained mired in the doldrums.

NAR predicts total new home sales will total a mere 397,000 this year, rising to 549,000 in 2010. During the housing boom, new home sales were far higher, more than 1.35 million in 2005, for example.

While new home sales are still very low, the inventory of new homes for sale has been dropping. That’s because very few new homes are being built. Existing home inventory has also fallen a bit.

“We’ve seen a steady downtrend in housing inventory for well over a year,” said Yun.

Any home price rise will also have a healthy impact on the foreclosure plague. Falling prices are a major contributing factor driving foreclosures. As home values fall, homeowners are less able and less likely to continue to make monthly payments.

Mortgage borrowers often fall behind because there’s no home equity cushion to tap should they run into unexpected expenses.

Too, when home values really plummet and owners fall way underwater, owing far more than their home is worth, it sometimes makes good financial sense to give up trying to pay for the home.

Under those conditions, some homeowners simply walk away.

reposted from CNN.com
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Lea Anderson is a real estate agent serving the communities of View Park, Windsor Hills, Ladera Heights and Baldwin Hills in Los Angeles county. For a FREE consultation call (310) 493-9678.

Tax Credit Extended and Improved

WASHINGTON – Missed out on Cash for Clunkers? Congress has another deal for you: Buy a home before May 1 and collect up to $6,500 from the government. If you’re a first-time homebuyer, get up to $8,000.

As part of the government’s efforts to encourage people to spend money to help revive the economy, the House voted 403-12 Thursday to expand a popular tax credit for homebuyers. The bill, which also extends unemployment benefits and expands a tax break for money-losing businesses, now goes to President Barack Obama, who plans to sign it Friday.

First-time homebuyers have been getting tax credits of up to $8,000 since January as part of the economic stimulus package. But with that housing program scheduled to expire at the end of November, the House voted to extend it into the spring — and to expand it to many people who already own homes.

Buyers who have owned their current homes at least five years would be eligible, subject to income limits, for tax credits of up to $6,500. First-time homebuyers — or people who haven’t owned homes in the previous three years — could get up to $8,000. To qualify, buyers have to sign purchase agreements before May 1 and close before July 1.

“It’s huge. I think it’s going to have a big impact,” said Patti Ketcham, who owns a real estate firm in Tallahassee, Fla. “I hope I’m right. Golly, I hope I’m right.”

Like housing markets across the country, Tallahassee’s has been depressed since even before the nation’s economy plunged into recession. There was no huge boom and bust like there was in many coastal areas, Ketcham said, “but ask anybody trying to sell a house and they’ll tell you it’s been no fun.”

The credit is available for the purchase of principal homes costing $800,000 or less, meaning vacation homes are ineligible. The credit would be phased out for individuals with annual incomes above $125,000 and for joint filers with incomes above $225,000.

Real estate agents say the first-time homebuyers’ tax credit that’s already in effect has boosted sales, much in the same way the Cash for Clunkers program increased auto sales last summer by paying car buyers as much as $4,500 for exchanging their old gas guzzlers for new, more fuel efficient models.

The agents hope the expanded housing credit will help stabilize housing markets during typically slow sales months in the winter. Today, many would-be buyers are still worried that home values could drop further, said Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors.

“Once the consumer fear factor disappears, then housing can move into a sustainable recovery,” Yun said. “I think we will be there by the middle of next year.”

Yun said the tax credit has helped to increase demand and reduce inventory, enabling sellers to get higher prices than they would have otherwise.

About 1.4 million first-time homebuyers had qualified for the credit through August. The Realtors estimate that 350,000 of those buyers would not have purchased their homes without the credit.

The real estate industry, including Realtors, home builders and mortgage bankers, have lobbied hard for the expanded tax credit. Lawmakers said the program will not be extended again.

Critics say the tax credit is poorly targeted because the vast majority of people receiving it would have bought homes anyway.

“Essentially we’re giving money to people for doing nothing different,” said Ted Gayer, co-director of economic studies at the Brookings Institution, a Washington think tank.

But Susan Marvin, who owns Marvin Windows and Doors in Warroad, Minn., near the Canadian border, said the economic benefits can be broad. She said, “If people are buying a home, they are far more likely to replace products or upgrade products.”

Extending and expanding the tax credit for homebuyers is projected to cost the government about $10.8 billion in lost taxes.

The credit is equal to 10 percent of the purchase price of a primary residence, up to a maximum of $8,000 for first-time homebuyers and $6,500 for others.

Taxpayers can claim the credit on their federal income tax returns. If the credit exceeds their tax bill, the government will issue a payment. Taxpayers who want immediate refunds can amend their tax returns for 2008 to claim the credit.

Also on Thursday, the government-controlled mortgage company Fannie Mae announced a new program that could allow thousands of borrowers on the verge of foreclosure to have the option of renting their homes for a time from the company.

But the effort is likely to affect a relatively small number of people in comparison to the number of homes being repossessed.

The homebuyers tax credit is one of two tax breaks totaling more than $21 billion that were included in a bill extending unemployment benefits for those without jobs for more than a year. The other tax break would allow money-losing companies to use current losses to offset taxable profits earned in the previous five years.

That break would help industries that have suffered big losses in the recession, including retailers, homebuilders and newspapers.

Expanding the tax credit for money-losing companies is projected to cost $10.4 billion.

The tax breaks would be paid for largely by delaying a tax break for multinational companies that pay foreign taxes. It was passed in 2004 and originally was to have taken effect this year, but would now be delayed until 2018.

The bill is H.R. 3548.
re-posted from Yahoo! News
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Lea Anderson is a real estate agent serving the Los Angeles communities of View Park, Windsor Hills, Ladera Heights and surrounding areas. For a FREE consultation, call (310) 493-9678.

Are Mom and Dad Slowing Down?

A friend and I were having a conversation about how we’ve been noticing our parents “slowing down”. Even though it’s a dreaded topic, I believe that it’s a needed discussion that we need to have. I hope this article is informative.
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(Money Magazine) — This spring Michael Rowe and his six siblings flew their parents to Orlando to celebrate their 85th birthdays. After the guests of honor excused themselves for a nap one afternoon, conversation around the swimming pool quickly turned serious. Did Mom and Dad have enough money to see them through their retirement? No one quite knew the answer.

Perhaps you’ve been wondering the same thing about your own parents. Well, there’s good reason for concern. Just as your retirement savings may have declined in recent months, so too might theirs have — only they’re probably already tapping those funds.

The Rowe family decided it was time to have “the talk.” And you should follow their lead. “You don’t want to wait until there’s a crisis to ask your parents about their finances,” says Julie Davis of Parent-giving.com, a caregiver resource site. Better to find out now if your own retirement plans might be altered by the need to pitch in for theirs.

Your parents may feel money is a private matter. Or they may want to seem as if they have it all together in front of their kids. Either way, approach the conversation delicately. (And of course, check in with your siblings first, as they may want to be involved.)

Start with a story about how you are doing financially — chances are they’re worried about you too — then open the door with these three basic topics.

‘How much do you have – and is it enough?’
This is the toughest question to ask. To broach it, note that you’ve recently run the numbers on your own retirement to see how you’re doing post-crash. Then add that you just want to make sure that they’ll be okay financially, given all that’s happened.

If they have a financial adviser, see whether you can meet with that person together. Otherwise, offer to take a second look at their own calculations. (You can get a sense of how long their money would last using the T. Rowe Price retirement income calculator)

If funds may run out, help them consider their options. Among them: an immediate annuity, which turns a portion of savings to a guaranteed stream of income, or a reverse mortgage, which would let them draw on home equity.

‘Is your money secure?’
The next step is to make sure your parents’ portfolio isn’t exposed to too much risk. At their age, it’s harder to ride out the stock market’s downsides. They need to be focused on capital preservation. On the other hand, they shouldn’t be all in cash either, since they need to keep pace with inflation.

Mention your own allocation, and ask about theirs. As a rule of thumb, subtract their age from 110; that’s roughly the percentage of their portfolio that should be in stocks.

‘Have you made long-term-care arrangements?’
Long-term care is a wildcard most retirement calculators don’t take into account. Yet the costs can be devastating — nursing-home care, for example, averages $69,000 to $78,000 a year, per MetLife — and aren’t covered by Medicare. You want to know if your parents have a plan to pay for such expenses.

Lead in by asking where they see themselves living out their years. If they got sick, would they prefer to age in place with a home health aide or move to a nursing facility? Then see whether they have long-term-care insurance, which helps foot the bill in such circumstances.

Getting LTC insurance now may be cost-prohibitive (a 70-year-old couple might pay $6,000 a year, and prices go up with age), so it might not make sense unless they have an estate worth preserving and can afford the premiums.

Help them identify other ways they could pay for care if it’s needed. Typically seniors are advised to tap cash first, investments second, and real estate last, says Parsippany, N.J., elder-care attorney Deirdre Wheatley-Liss. Once the sick parent exhausts the assets in his or her name, Medicaid will step in to pay for 100% of care.

With luck, these questions will pave the way for future talks — as they have done for the Rowes. After returning home to Indiana, Michael and his youngest sister took their parents to lunch and voiced their concerns. Their parents were so glad to talk that they suggested meeting with their financial planner that very afternoon. “It relieved some of our worries,” Rowe says. “And I think Mom and Dad drove away happy.”

reposted from cnnmoney.com
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Lea Anderson is a real estate agent serving the Los Angeles communities of View Park, Windsor Hills, Ladera Heights and their surrounding areas. She can be reached at (310) 493-9678